Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 62.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 51.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McCann
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McCann
Bergeron
Last 6: McCann 3-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
1
McCann
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
McCann
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
63.8% (1,102)
-17.8%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
65.3% (288)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
47.6% (210)
+14.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
McCann
Bergeron
Home
45.1% (244)
62.5% (882)
Away
46.0% (248)
61.3% (718)
By Period
McCann
Bergeron
P1
42.5%
62.5%
P2
45.9%
62.7%
P3
47.8%
60.6%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jared McCann |