Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Skinner wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 51.6% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 83.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 90.2%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Skinner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Skinner
Bergeron
Last 8: Skinner 4-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
4
0
Skinner
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Skinner
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (200)
56.2% (940)
-8.7%
Power Play
62.0% (100)
61.6% (284)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.3% (165)
-50.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Skinner is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Skinner shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bergeron
Home
58.9% (158)
57.7% (712)
Away
44.8% (143)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Skinner
Bergeron
P1
49.0%
55.0%
P2
47.4%
57.1%
P3
59.6%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |