Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 83.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 64.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 82.6%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Skinner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Skinner
Bergeron
Last 5: Skinner 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Skinner
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Skinner
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
63.8% (1,102)
-26.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
65.3% (288)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.6% (210)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bergeron
Home
41.5% (130)
62.5% (882)
Away
39.4% (94)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Skinner
Bergeron
P1
32.9%
62.5%
P2
47.1%
62.7%
P3
40.6%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |