Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 25.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 81.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 87.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 63.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Skinner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Skinner
Bergeron
Last 5: Skinner 2-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Skinner
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
62.5% (1,109)
-15.7%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
62.2% (352)
-13.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Skinner shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bergeron
Home
53.8% (169)
61.9% (917)
Away
38.9% (131)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Skinner
Bergeron
P1
48.1%
60.8%
P2
47.1%
60.3%
P3
46.9%
63.0%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |