Jesse Winchester vs Patrice Bergeron
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Winchester wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 49.1% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 79.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 59.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 75.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Winchester
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Winchester
Bergeron
Last 7: Winchester 4-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Winchester
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
4
1
Winchester
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (70)
59.4% (1,274)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
55.5% (265)
-5.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Winchester is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Winchester shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Winchester
Bergeron
Home
40.3% (62)
61.9% (837)
Away
55.9% (68)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Winchester
Bergeron
P1
45.8%
60.1%
P2
46.7%
59.2%
P3
55.6%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
48.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |