Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Brien wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 77.7%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 79.0%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 80.0%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
O'Brien
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Brien
Bergeron
Last 5: O'Brien 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
O'Brien
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
O'Brien
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
O'Brien
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
61.6% (1,186)
-12.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.2% (201)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
54.6% (240)
-9.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. O'Brien is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
O'Brien shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Bergeron
Home
46.8% (139)
61.7% (828)
Away
47.9% (117)
56.8% (813)
By Period
O'Brien
Bergeron
P1
51.6%
58.5%
P2
46.1%
61.8%
P3
41.9%
57.8%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |