Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 63.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 73.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 60.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Vitale
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Vitale
Bergeron
Last 8: Vitale 3-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Vitale
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Vitale
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
61.6% (1,186)
-5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
52.2% (201)
+47.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
54.6% (240)
-7.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Vitale shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bergeron
Home
56.9% (383)
61.7% (828)
Away
54.4% (340)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Vitale
Bergeron
P1
51.5%
58.5%
P2
58.2%
61.8%
P3
56.8%
57.8%
OT
80.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |