Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 59.5% vs Bergeron 58.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 51.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 56.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Vitale
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Vitale
Bergeron
Last 5: Vitale 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Vitale
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Vitale
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (274)
59.4% (1,274)
+2.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.5% (193)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (42)
55.5% (265)
+11.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Vitale is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Vitale shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bergeron
Home
69.7% (152)
61.9% (837)
Away
56.0% (168)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Vitale
Bergeron
P1
55.9%
60.1%
P2
65.2%
59.2%
P3
66.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |