Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Porter wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 42.9% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Porter 77.9%
Defensive zone
Porter 82.6%
Neutral zone
Porter 82.2%
Result
Kevin Porter favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Porter
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Porter
Bergeron
Last 5: Porter 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Porter
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Porter
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (240)
62.6% (660)
-22.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.8% (97)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
61.4% (127)
-19.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Porter is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Porter shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Porter
Bergeron
Home
41.0% (134)
67.0% (443)
Away
39.4% (137)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Porter
Bergeron
P1
37.3%
63.7%
P2
42.7%
60.0%
P3
40.6%
63.2%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
40.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |