Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Okposo wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.4% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 73.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 79.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 66.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Okposo
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Okposo
Bergeron
Last 8: Okposo 4-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
4
0
Okposo
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Okposo
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Okposo
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (126)
59.4% (1,274)
-10.2%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
57.5% (193)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
55.5% (265)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Okposo is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Okposo shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Okposo
Bergeron
Home
50.9% (106)
61.9% (837)
Away
43.9% (98)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Okposo
Bergeron
P1
61.4%
60.1%
P2
42.7%
59.2%
P3
44.3%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |