Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Komarov wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.5% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-23.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Komarov 91.1%
Defensive zone
Komarov 81.2%
Neutral zone
Komarov 89.9%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Komarov
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Komarov
Bergeron
Last 10: Komarov 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Komarov
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Komarov
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Komarov
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (60)
60.7% (760)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
57.3% (157)
-57.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Komarov is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Komarov shoots left. Bergeron is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Komarov
Bergeron
Home
45.5% (33)
64.4% (567)
Away
32.4% (34)
60.2% (580)
By Period
Komarov
Bergeron
P1
45.0%
63.8%
P2
37.0%
58.6%
P3
35.0%
63.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |