Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 48.2% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 76.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 82.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 80.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Stajan
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stajan
Bergeron
Last 7: Stajan 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Stajan
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Stajan
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (886)
59.4% (1,274)
-10.2%
Power Play
37.1% (35)
57.5% (193)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (175)
55.5% (265)
-10.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Stajan shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bergeron
Home
51.2% (572)
61.9% (837)
Away
44.7% (524)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Stajan
Bergeron
P1
48.4%
60.1%
P2
45.2%
59.2%
P3
50.8%
56.6%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |