Nicklas Backstrom vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backstrom wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 89.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 87.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 88.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Backstrom
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Backstrom
Bergeron
Last 9: Backstrom 1-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Backstrom
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Backstrom
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
62.5% (1,109)
-11.1%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
62.2% (352)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.5% (245)
-20.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Backstrom shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bergeron
Home
53.6% (278)
61.9% (917)
Away
46.6% (236)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Backstrom
Bergeron
P1
51.5%
60.8%
P2
56.0%
60.3%
P3
43.5%
63.0%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |