Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 47.9% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 81.4%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 77.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 85.1%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Jokinen
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Jokinen
Bergeron
Last 10: Jokinen 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Jokinen
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Jokinen
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (566)
62.6% (660)
-15.8%
Power Play
53.4% (58)
59.8% (97)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
61.4% (127)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Jokinen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Jokinen shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bergeron
Home
49.5% (319)
67.0% (443)
Away
45.7% (311)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Jokinen
Bergeron
P1
49.1%
63.7%
P2
47.9%
60.0%
P3
46.4%
63.2%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2013 | OT | 00:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |