Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Gaustad 54.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 97.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 64.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 76.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Bergeron
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Bergeron
Gaustad
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
9
1
Bergeron
Gaustad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Bergeron
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
56.2% (603)
+0.8%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
71.4% (21)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
49.3% (148)
+2.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Bergeron shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gaustad
Home
59.1% (986)
55.5% (366)
Away
55.1% (992)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Bergeron
Gaustad
P1
55.5%
55.0%
P2
58.0%
56.9%
P3
57.9%
53.7%
OT
53.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |