Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kessel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.2% vs Kessel 46.5% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 68.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 92.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 87.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Bergeron
Kessel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Bergeron
Kessel
Last 9: Bergeron 6-3 Kessel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Kessel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Kessel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Kessel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kessel
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,041)
40.0% (45)
+17.3%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
50.0% (12)
+10.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kessel shoots right. Bergeron is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Bergeron shoots right. Kessel is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kessel
Home
59.8% (682)
46.4% (28)
Away
53.8% (757)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Bergeron
Kessel
P1
58.2%
42.1%
P2
58.1%
40.9%
P3
54.5%
37.5%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Kessel
34.0%▼
35.7%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Kessel |