Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Pelley 51.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 81.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 91.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Bergeron
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bergeron
Pelley
Last 7: Bergeron 5-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Pelley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Bergeron
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Bergeron
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
51.4% (440)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
25.0% (8)
+35.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
50.8% (118)
+2.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Pelley
Home
61.2% (10,028)
52.9% (221)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Bergeron
Pelley
P1
59.3%
50.8%
P2
60.0%
49.3%
P3
58.6%
53.8%
OT
57.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |