Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.2% vs Pelley 52.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 86.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 76.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 78.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Bergeron
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bergeron
Pelley
Last 7: Bergeron 5-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Pelley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Bergeron
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Bergeron
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,041)
53.4% (208)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
50.5% (103)
+0.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Bergeron shoots right. Pelley is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Pelley
Home
59.8% (682)
55.1% (127)
Away
53.8% (757)
51.3% (193)
By Period
Bergeron
Pelley
P1
58.2%
56.0%
P2
58.1%
49.6%
P3
54.5%
53.0%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |