Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 57.4%). Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.2% vs Kesler 57.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 50.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 51.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 9: Bergeron 2-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Bergeron
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Bergeron
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,041)
57.3% (1,022)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
61.5% (200)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
54.9% (257)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
59.8% (682)
58.6% (766)
Away
53.8% (757)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
58.2%
58.9%
P2
58.1%
56.8%
P3
54.5%
57.5%
OT
42.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |