Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Kesler 53.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 73.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Bergeron
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Bergeron
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Bergeron
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
53.8% (981)
+7.8%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
56.9% (160)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
49.2% (185)
+5.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
61.7% (828)
54.1% (690)
Away
56.8% (813)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
58.5%
52.3%
P2
61.8%
52.8%
P3
57.8%
56.3%
OT
58.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |