Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Kesler 52.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 16-2 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 85.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 95.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 90.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
2
(18 meetings)
16
2
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 10: Bergeron 9-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
1
Bergeron
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
1
Bergeron
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
53.8% (1,005)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
56.6% (205)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
42.3% (196)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
61.9% (837)
54.1% (719)
Away
55.5% (895)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
60.1%
53.1%
P2
59.2%
54.5%
P3
56.6%
50.3%
OT
57.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |