Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Kesler 58.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 62.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 50.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
9
1
Bergeron
Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bergeron
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
4
Bergeron
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
58.6% (1,138)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
64.5% (186)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
55.0% (351)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
59.1% (986)
61.0% (859)
Away
55.1% (992)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
55.5%
59.1%
P2
58.0%
56.5%
P3
57.9%
60.5%
OT
53.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |