Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Kesler 52.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 93.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 72.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 81.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 8: Bergeron 7-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Bergeron
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (972)
55.2% (567)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.4% (221)
54.9% (51)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (175)
45.0% (131)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
59.0% (712)
55.7% (388)
Away
55.5% (656)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
59.1%
56.3%
P2
60.2%
52.5%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
OT
60.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |