Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.1% vs Strome 47.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 80.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 93.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Bergeron
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bergeron
Strome
Last 9: Bergeron 7-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Bergeron
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (940)
47.4% (635)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.6% (284)
57.4% (61)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (165)
40.8% (71)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bergeron is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Bergeron shoots right. Strome is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Strome
Home
57.7% (712)
50.7% (341)
Away
55.4% (677)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Bergeron
Strome
P1
55.0%
47.5%
P2
57.1%
48.4%
P3
58.2%
46.6%
OT
48.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |