Patrice Bergeron vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Aho 51.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 71.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 74.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 78.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Bergeron
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Bergeron
Aho
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
7
10
Bergeron
Aho
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
10
Bergeron
Aho
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
2
Bergeron
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
50.1% (6,415)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
59.1% (1,297)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
46.0% (446)
+7.0%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Aho
Home
61.2% (10,028)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Bergeron
Aho
P1
59.3%
51.2%
P2
60.0%
52.1%
P3
58.6%
50.8%
OT
57.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |