Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Ott 55.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 33-29 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 81.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 55.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 71.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Bergeron
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
29
(62 meetings)
33
29
Bergeron
Ott
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
15
9
Bergeron
Ott
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
11
14
Bergeron
Ott
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
6
Bergeron
Ott
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
57.2% (2,802)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
55.4% (567)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
49.9% (853)
+3.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ott
Home
61.2% (10,028)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Bergeron
Ott
P1
59.3%
56.7%
P2
60.0%
53.9%
P3
58.6%
55.7%
OT
57.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |