Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.6%). Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.2% vs Ott 56.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 57.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 65.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 58.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Bergeron
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bergeron
Ott
Last 7: Bergeron 1-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Bergeron
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Bergeron
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,041)
58.8% (720)
-1.5%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
52.5% (179)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
53.2% (235)
-1.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Bergeron shoots right. Ott is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ott
Home
59.8% (682)
59.3% (562)
Away
53.8% (757)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Bergeron
Ott
P1
58.2%
57.3%
P2
58.1%
54.1%
P3
54.5%
58.4%
OT
42.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |