Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Ott 55.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 66.4%
Defensive zone
Ott 65.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 66.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Bergeron
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bergeron
Ott
Last 7: Bergeron 2-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Bergeron
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Bergeron
Ott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
56.9% (705)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
55.8% (154)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
48.3% (145)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Bergeron shoots right. Ott is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ott
Home
61.7% (828)
54.9% (526)
Away
56.8% (813)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Bergeron
Ott
P1
58.5%
55.4%
P2
61.8%
54.0%
P3
57.8%
56.1%
OT
58.3%
73.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Steve Ott |