Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Bergeron wins 64.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.9% vs Ott 54.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 88.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 74.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 83.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Bergeron
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
14
(34 meetings)
20
14
Bergeron
Ott
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
10
5
Bergeron
Ott
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
5
Bergeron
Ott
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Bergeron
Ott
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (660)
54.8% (305)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.8% (97)
56.8% (95)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (127)
57.0% (135)
+4.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Bergeron shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ott
Home
67.0% (443)
58.7% (271)
Away
57.1% (441)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Bergeron
Ott
P1
63.7%
60.4%
P2
60.0%
54.0%
P3
63.2%
52.6%
OT
52.9%
65.0%
Final 5 min
66.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |