Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Ott 53.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 84.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 79.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 88.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Bergeron
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Bergeron
Ott
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
2
Bergeron
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
55.6% (583)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
57.0% (128)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
47.1% (206)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Ott is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ott
Home
61.9% (837)
54.1% (512)
Away
55.5% (895)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Bergeron
Ott
P1
60.1%
53.3%
P2
59.2%
52.8%
P3
56.6%
56.1%
OT
57.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |