Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Kero 45.4% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 90.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 74.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 88.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Bergeron
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bergeron
Kero
Last 6: Bergeron 4-2 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Kero
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
45.9% (434)
+16.6%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
50.0% (2)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (255)
25.7% (35)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Bergeron shoots right. Kero is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kero
Home
62.2% (902)
47.7% (214)
Away
58.0% (910)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Bergeron
Kero
P1
59.6%
44.4%
P2
60.4%
48.5%
P3
60.2%
39.4%
Final 5 min
59.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |