Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.9% vs Zajac 56.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 72.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 74.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 72.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Bergeron
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Bergeron
Zajac
Last 10: Bergeron 1-9 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
4
Bergeron
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Bergeron
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Bergeron
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (660)
56.6% (641)
+6.0%
Power Play
59.8% (97)
64.9% (148)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (127)
51.1% (92)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Bergeron shoots right. Zajac is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zajac
Home
67.0% (443)
57.2% (444)
Away
57.1% (441)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Bergeron
Zajac
P1
63.7%
54.4%
P2
60.0%
61.5%
P3
63.2%
56.0%
OT
52.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
66.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2013 | OT | 04:45 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |