Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.7% vs Zajac 53.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 89.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 87.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Bergeron
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Bergeron
Zajac
Last 10: Bergeron 10-0 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
2
Bergeron
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
0
Bergeron
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (1,394)
53.6% (932)
+6.9%
Power Play
64.0% (300)
55.0% (129)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (255)
50.4% (139)
+3.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Bergeron shoots right. Zajac is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zajac
Home
62.0% (949)
55.8% (661)
Away
58.6% (1,002)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Bergeron
Zajac
P1
59.2%
55.7%
P2
63.9%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
54.1%
OT
68.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |