Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Bergeron wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.3% vs Zajac 51.2% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 96.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 81.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 91.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Bergeron
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
13
(36 meetings)
23
13
Bergeron
Zajac
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
10
2
Bergeron
Zajac
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
8
Bergeron
Zajac
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
3
Bergeron
Zajac
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (760)
53.5% (480)
+7.2%
Power Play
70.9% (230)
48.4% (62)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (157)
37.7% (61)
+19.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bergeron is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Bergeron shoots right. Zajac is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zajac
Home
64.4% (567)
51.7% (352)
Away
60.2% (580)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Bergeron
Zajac
P1
63.8%
45.0%
P2
58.6%
61.5%
P3
63.9%
46.0%
OT
76.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |