Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Smith 46.1% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 53.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 54.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 69.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bergeron
Smith
Last 8: Bergeron 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Bergeron
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
44.7% (244)
+14.7%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
33.3% (6)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
50.0% (8)
+5.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
61.9% (837)
51.3% (158)
Away
55.5% (895)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
60.1%
37.2%
P2
59.2%
53.9%
P3
56.6%
40.8%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |