Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.9% vs Brouwer 48.5% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 73.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 83.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 70.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Bergeron
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bergeron
Brouwer
Last 5: Bergeron 3-2 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Bergeron
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (660)
50.0% (114)
+12.6%
Power Play
59.8% (97)
49.4% (83)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (127)
37.1% (35)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Bergeron shoots right. Brouwer is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Brouwer
Home
67.0% (443)
48.0% (123)
Away
57.1% (441)
47.7% (109)
By Period
Bergeron
Brouwer
P1
63.7%
40.5%
P2
60.0%
47.4%
P3
63.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
66.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |