Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 67.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 88.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 89.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Bergeron
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bergeron
Brouwer
Last 6: Bergeron 4-2 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Brouwer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Bergeron
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
50.8% (122)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
52.3% (193)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
49.6% (121)
+5.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Bergeron shoots right. Brouwer is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Brouwer
Home
61.9% (837)
56.6% (221)
Away
55.5% (895)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Bergeron
Brouwer
P1
60.1%
54.6%
P2
59.2%
48.0%
P3
56.6%
50.3%
OT
57.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |