Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Ennis 46.9% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 57.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Bergeron
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bergeron
Ennis
Last 8: Bergeron 4-4 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Ennis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Ennis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Bergeron
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
45.6% (285)
+16.0%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
50.0% (24)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
60.0% (5)
-5.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Bergeron shoots right. Ennis is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Ennis
Home
61.7% (828)
53.1% (175)
Away
56.8% (813)
36.9% (141)
By Period
Bergeron
Ennis
P1
58.5%
40.0%
P2
61.8%
50.5%
P3
57.8%
48.5%
OT
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |