Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudet on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaudet shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Gaudet 48.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Gaudet leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 55.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 58.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 57.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Bergeron
Gaudet
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Bergeron
Gaudet
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Gaudet
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudet
1
2
Bergeron
Gaudet
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Gaudet
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Gaudet
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gaudet
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
45.7% (81)
+11.3%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
50.0% (2)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
55.6% (9)
-4.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudet shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Bergeron shoots right. Gaudet is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gaudet
Home
59.1% (986)
44.2% (52)
Away
55.1% (992)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Bergeron
Gaudet
P1
55.5%
50.0%
P2
58.0%
34.5%
P3
57.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Gaudet
40.0%▼
45.8%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tyler Gaudet |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Gaudet |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Tyler Gaudet |