Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.7% vs Rask 50.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 85.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 96.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 94.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Bergeron
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Bergeron
Rask
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bergeron
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
3
Bergeron
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (1,394)
51.4% (863)
+9.1%
Power Play
64.0% (300)
55.9% (34)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (255)
23.8% (21)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Bergeron shoots right. Rask is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Rask
Home
62.0% (949)
53.2% (494)
Away
58.6% (1,002)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Bergeron
Rask
P1
59.2%
49.2%
P2
63.9%
48.9%
P3
57.0%
54.4%
OT
68.6%
63.2%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |