Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Rask 51.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 72.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 84.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Bergeron
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Bergeron
Rask
Last 10: Bergeron 9-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
1
Bergeron
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
51.7% (862)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
45.3% (64)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
44.4% (9)
+6.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Bergeron shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Rask
Home
59.1% (986)
53.6% (466)
Away
55.1% (992)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Bergeron
Rask
P1
55.5%
52.4%
P2
58.0%
50.5%
P3
57.9%
50.8%
OT
53.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | OT | 02:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |