Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Rask 49.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 84.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 93.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Bergeron
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Bergeron
Rask
Last 10: Bergeron 10-0 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
0
Bergeron
Rask
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
48.7% (809)
+13.8%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
60.0% (90)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (255)
47.4% (19)
+0.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Bergeron shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Rask
Home
62.2% (902)
51.4% (420)
Away
58.0% (910)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Bergeron
Rask
P1
59.6%
49.1%
P2
60.4%
50.2%
P3
60.2%
50.3%
OT
62.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |