Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Leino 43.9% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 74.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 80.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 82.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Bergeron
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bergeron
Leino
Last 7: Bergeron 4-3 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
2
Bergeron
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
1
Bergeron
Leino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
42.6% (209)
+19.0%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
25.0% (12)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
40.0% (5)
+14.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Bergeron shoots right. Leino is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Leino
Home
61.7% (828)
41.2% (102)
Away
56.8% (813)
41.4% (128)
By Period
Bergeron
Leino
P1
58.5%
38.8%
P2
61.8%
42.7%
P3
57.8%
42.3%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2012 | OT | 03:37 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ville Leino |