Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Leino 45.2% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 84.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 93.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Bergeron
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bergeron
Leino
Last 7: Bergeron 5-2 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
43.7% (254)
+15.7%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
43.8% (32)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
0.0% (1)
+55.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Leino is 34.7% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Leino
Home
61.9% (837)
45.0% (160)
Away
55.5% (895)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Bergeron
Leino
P1
60.1%
43.6%
P2
59.2%
42.3%
P3
56.6%
43.7%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |