Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 51 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Smith 50.6% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 97-42 in 139 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 99.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 91.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 98.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 96.7%
96.7%
3.3%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
97
-
42
(139 meetings)
97
42
Bergeron
Smith
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
41
10
Bergeron
Smith
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
21
18
Bergeron
Smith
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
35
14
Bergeron
Smith
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
51.6% (5,265)
+8.5%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
51.2% (342)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
45.3% (985)
+7.7%
On power play, Bergeron has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
61.2% (10,028)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
59.3%
49.9%
P2
60.0%
50.0%
P3
58.6%
51.9%
OT
57.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |