Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.2% vs Smith 53.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 61.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 50.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bergeron
Smith
Last 5: Bergeron 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Bergeron
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,041)
58.1% (322)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
36.8% (19)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
32.6% (46)
+18.7%
On power play, Bergeron has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
59.8% (682)
58.8% (204)
Away
53.8% (757)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
58.2%
52.9%
P2
58.1%
56.3%
P3
54.5%
51.9%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Zack Smith |