Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Smith 52.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 97.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 83.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Bergeron
Smith
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
3
Bergeron
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Bergeron
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
10
2
Bergeron
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
53.0% (1,048)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
57.4% (47)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
50.0% (196)
+5.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
61.9% (837)
53.9% (629)
Away
55.5% (895)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
60.1%
50.4%
P2
59.2%
51.8%
P3
56.6%
56.4%
OT
57.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |