Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Smith 51.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 93.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 87.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 94.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Bergeron
Smith
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
1
Bergeron
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
2
Bergeron
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
53.5% (430)
+9.0%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
47.7% (65)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (255)
49.1% (114)
-0.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
62.2% (902)
54.0% (298)
Away
58.0% (910)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
59.6%
55.4%
P2
60.4%
45.9%
P3
60.2%
54.6%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |