Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Cormier wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cormier 52.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cormier 68.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 84.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 64.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Cormier
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cormier
Gaustad
Last 5: Cormier 3-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cormier
2
0
Cormier
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Cormier
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cormier
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cormier
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (44)
59.3% (913)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.8% (269)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Cormier is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Cormier shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Cormier
Gaustad
Home
48.4% (31)
58.6% (604)
Away
73.3% (15)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Cormier
Gaustad
P1
64.3%
61.5%
P2
58.8%
55.7%
P3
46.7%
56.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cormier
52.0%▼
57.7%
56.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Patrice Cormier |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |