Scouting Report
Patrice Cormier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cormier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cormier wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cormier 54.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.7%
Defensive zone
Cormier 53.0%
Neutral zone
Cormier 52.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cormier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cormier
Bozak
Last 5: Cormier 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cormier
2
1
Cormier
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cormier
2
0
Cormier
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cormier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (150)
53.7% (9,596)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.0% (1,094)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Cormier has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Cormier is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Cormier shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Cormier
Bozak
Home
57.8% (90)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
57.5% (73)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Cormier
Bozak
P1
61.5%
53.2%
P2
54.7%
52.8%
P3
57.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cormier
52.0%▼
57.7%
57.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |